tourists
0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f
- Realised P&L
- $525.9k
- Volume
- $64.08M
- Markets traded
- 775
- Open portfolio
- $276.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded775
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.0kat 0.333Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$71.9kat 0.820Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$36.1kat 0.891US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$35.9kat 0.706Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$29.1kat 0.999Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $8.7k |
| 08-02 16:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.8k |
| 07-30 00:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.8k |
| 07-29 22:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.9237371795 | $1.4k |
| 07-29 22:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.919946546 | $818.34 |
| 07-28 17:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7917812667 | $1.2k |
| 07-28 16:23 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $140.9k |
| 07-28 01:01 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $139.9k |
| 07-22 02:22 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.998 | $113.0k |
| 07-22 02:22 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.0k |
| 07-21 18:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.817 | $1.6k |
| 07-21 17:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8809938897 | $2.3k |
| 07-21 17:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.879 | $170.32 |
| 07-20 00:03 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.3k |
| 07-19 23:23 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.981 | $9.6k |