0xc6fd8b51924453648903723887c808aef39453df
- Realised P&L
- $-14.4k
- Volume
- $1.23M
- Markets traded
- 3,228
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,228
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.626Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$1.8kat 0.474Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.503Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$975.58at 0.552Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$863.11at 0.559Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:33 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 23:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:29 | Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:24 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:24 | Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.56 |
| 08-02 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.77 |
| 08-02 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |