nextdayoff
0xc772be0a052081402b3a154584c3ec13cdba45f5
- Realised P&L
- $-24.3k
- Volume
- $274.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $54.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.207 | $52.7k | −$22.7k |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · No | 0.375 | 0.210 | $903.84 | −$709.31 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.378 | 0.210 | $836.85 | −$670.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$338.80at 0.916Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?
- +$119.31at 0.927Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
- +$63.94at 0.922Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?
- +$-1.08at 0.100Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?
- +$-709.40at 0.920Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-02 06:00 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.25 | $14.37 |
| 01-31 16:09 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.37 |
| 01-30 17:09 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.36 |
| 01-29 17:04 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.27 | $51.52 |
| 01-21 13:52 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.36 |
| 01-20 11:58 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.34 |
| 01-19 13:28 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.27 | $14.71 |
| 01-17 07:21 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.27 | $14.69 |
| 01-15 02:40 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.48 |
| 01-09 15:02 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.28 | $16.16 |
| 01-07 12:41 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3 | $16.47 |
| 01-05 16:01 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3 | $173.28 |
| 01-01 08:04 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $45.51 |
| 01-01 08:04 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $373.51 |
| 01-01 07:56 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $23.39 |