PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BroLeon

0xc8a626dc2b272b635614921e4d2ee9d1b2532c4e

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7400.825$825.00+$85.00
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · No0.6201.000$400.00+$152.00
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.755$385.05+$114.45
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4240.655$262.00+$92.30
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yes0.6690.000$0.00$500.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$499.99
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$30.00
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.7300.000$0.00$80.30
OpenSea airdrop before April? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$20.00
Solana above $170 on November 1? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$50.00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00$115.92
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$500.00
Berachain airdrop in 2024? · Yes0.4920.000$0.00$150.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00$700.00
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.5090.000$0.00$131.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 12:17MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.61256625$245.03
03-24 10:01Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.38$3.80
03-24 08:50Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.41$164.00
03-06 11:50Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4385$87.70
03-06 11:35Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.56$5.60
01-22 05:48Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.5088010499$131.81
01-22 05:48Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.73$80.30
10-30 08:43Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY0.6686226371$500.00
10-22 15:51MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.92$115.92
10-21 15:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?BUY0.057742718$500.00
10-21 15:09Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?BUY0.1698821355$500.00
01-03 05:14TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?BUY0.7199999986$100.00
01-03 05:07OpenSea airdrop before April?BUY0.6599999954$20.00
01-03 05:07Ethereum all time high by March 31?BUY0.3299999967$50.00
01-03 05:06USDT depeg in 2025?BUY0.839999999$100.00