candice000
0xc975d7bcf7363c8ca1046753c49a5bf95a531983
- Realised P&L
- $-138.85
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $96.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)9.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.510 | 0.460 | $23.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? · Yes | 0.832 | 0.741 | $22.21 | −$2.74 |
| Will Leavitt say "Pool" during the next White House Press Briefing? · No | 0.610 | 0.575 | $15.13 | −$0.92 |
| Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.715 | $14.30 | +$0.50 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.355 | $7.92 | +$0.56 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes | 0.502 | 0.484 | $7.71 | −$0.28 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.810 | $5.23 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.59at 0.478Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- +$0.15at 0.218Will Rodri join Real Madrid?
- +$0.10at 0.470No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?
- +$0.09at 0.830Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- +$0.00at 0.490Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:57 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.752 | $12.99 |
| 08-02 17:06 | Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.56 |
| 08-02 13:21 | Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.882 | $1.47 |
| 08-02 12:51 | No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.43 | $13.42 |
| 08-02 12:51 | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? | SELL | 0.33 | $8.25 |
| 08-02 12:51 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Will T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026? | SELL | 0.579 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.12 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | SELL | 0.262 | $0.08 |
| 08-01 19:34 | Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.304 | $5.47 |
| 08-01 19:34 | Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | SELL | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-01 17:59 | Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.0533333333 | $1.60 |
| 08-01 16:03 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.43919 | $21.96 |
| 07-31 22:32 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.5395 | $53.95 |
| 07-29 20:50 | Will Joey Spallina win the 2026 PLL Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |