JosephMama
0xc9daafe662ff26259f6a6b0c4a95e386517c9b5f
- Realised P&L
- $-55.05
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $162.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.825 | $127.80 | +$62.80 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · No | 0.050 | 0.009 | $23.33 | −$106.23 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $11.62 | −$19.30 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.47 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.58at 0.083Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$21.63at 0.187Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
- +$5.05at 0.500Solana Up or Down - April 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$3.15at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$-2.30at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:33 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 21:25 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.59 |
| 08-02 19:30 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 19:14 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.22 |
| 08-02 18:33 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.07 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.54 |
| 08-02 13:31 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.035 | $1.36 |
| 08-02 12:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 12:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 12:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:42 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:42 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:42 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 12:42 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |