0xca75fbadcc238afd23c317e253a8b5c47b390a64
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $324.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,940
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,940
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.92at 0.276Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?
- +$74.70at 0.444Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?
- +$71.80at 0.350Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
- +$62.88at 0.430Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$60.75at 0.903Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 08-03 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $230.28 |
| 08-03 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.49 | $11.74 |
| 08-03 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.54 | $6.20 |
| 08-03 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 08-03 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 08-03 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.78 | $5.08 |
| 08-03 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.68 | $27.20 |
| 08-03 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 08-03 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.67 | $7.57 |
| 08-03 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.8 | $12.00 |
| 08-03 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.71 | $13.21 |
| 08-03 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.81 | $12.82 |
| 08-03 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.80 |
| 08-03 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |