PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xca75fbadcc238afd23c317e253a8b5c47b390a64

Realised P&L
$-5.4k
Volume
$324.2k
Markets traded
3,940
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,940
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:53Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4?SELL0.83$16.60
08-03 07:53Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3?SELL0.999$230.28
08-03 07:47Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.49$11.74
08-03 07:47Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 4?SELL0.54$6.20
08-03 07:47Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.59$11.80
08-03 07:47Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.7$21.00
08-03 07:47Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4?SELL0.78$5.08
08-03 07:47Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.68$27.20
08-03 07:47Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.71$3.55
08-03 07:45Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4?SELL0.67$7.57
08-03 07:45Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 4?SELL0.8$12.00
08-03 07:43Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4?SELL0.71$13.21
08-03 07:23Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.81$12.82
08-03 07:15Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?SELL0.74$3.80
08-03 07:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.81$4.05