fivegoldenrings
0xcaf9fab4cd7b55dd8b7f04ca09f69282fb3672cd
- Realised P&L
- $-518.31
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes | 0.965 | 0.982 | $4.5k | +$77.49 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.992 | $779.04 | +$17.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$506.68at 0.902Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?
- +$210.19at 0.940Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $116K on July 13 at 5PM ET?
- +$62.56at 0.981Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$32.87at 0.779Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 14?
- +$25.22at 0.930Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.52 |
| 07-24 15:42 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.4k |
| 07-24 15:41 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.89 | $25.37 |
| 07-24 15:40 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.94 | $37.60 |
| 07-24 15:40 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 07-21 13:50 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.7k |
| 07-17 16:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.998 | $118.40 |
| 07-13 12:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $118.28 |
| 07-03 05:52 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $117.81 |
| 06-20 02:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $117.88 |
| 06-18 01:07 | Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $117.88 |
| 06-15 15:15 | Will Pedro Porro be in Spain's Starting 11? | BUY | 0.995404306 | $116.97 |
| 06-08 08:34 | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.23 |
| 06-04 15:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $55.82 |
| 06-04 15:39 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $55.82 |