saracs
0xcb8a3eb2bd205e31df93854aa16b64925091f7ab
- Realised P&L
- $-586.69
- Volume
- $147.5k
- Markets traded
- 8,164
- Open portfolio
- $32.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,164
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.79at 0.721Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?
- +$35.51at 0.719Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12AM ET
- +$34.50at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11PM ET
- +$33.39at 0.804Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12PM ET
- +$31.50at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 11:53 | Will Mgarr United FC win on 2026-07-22? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 07-11 22:52 | Will Larne FC vs. Tre Fiori FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1310421009 | $6.29 |
| 07-11 22:51 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.6925 | $5.54 |
| 07-11 22:51 | Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.32 |
| 07-11 22:51 | Will Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.12 |
| 07-11 22:51 | Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 07-11 22:51 | Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.57 |
| 07-09 21:42 | Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.46 |
| 07-06 23:35 | Will KÍ win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 07-06 23:33 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 07-06 20:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $16.64 |
| 07-06 13:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $3.84 |
| 07-06 13:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $2.28 |
| 07-06 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.70 |
| 06-24 19:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.18 |