KennyHu
0xcbce62bd62855d21847e2222b8bb6dee2ff873e9
- Realised P&L
- $-483.62
- Volume
- $60.5k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.870 | 1.000 | $1.0k | +$130.00 |
| Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.525 | $525.00 | +$225.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$291.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$660.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?
- +$648.85at 0.516Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?
- +$621.00at 0.482Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$400.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2?
- +$329.99at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 16:16 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.51 | $458.99 |
| 03-03 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 02-14 12:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1734254545 | $37.76 |
| 02-09 16:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SELL | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 01-04 11:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.04924975 | $19.70 |
| 11-14 19:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 15? | BUY | 0.558 | $83.70 |
| 11-08 16:56 | Solana Up or Down on November 8? | BUY | 0.9616942857 | $37.03 |
| 11-08 16:56 | Solana Up or Down on November 8? | BUY | 0.967 | $29.74 |
| 11-06 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 11-06 17:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 11-04 16:56 | Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 4? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 11:06 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $271.60 |
| 10-26 03:48 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.969 | $193.80 |
| 10-24 15:42 | Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 24? | BUY | 0.89 | $400.50 |
| 10-22 15:48 | Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 22? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.19 |