PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Chrisbadan

0xccdd36da5f4c65805718827f5e4bcdbfc7eca831

Realised P&L
$-86.50
Volume
$15.7k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$68.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? · Yes0.5590.380$67.93$32.07
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3560.000$0.00$229.23
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30? · Yes0.1730.000$0.00$72.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:21Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?BUY0.5593675403$100.00
04-19 20:32Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?BUY0.1726488732$72.48
04-19 18:20Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSELL0.99$2.96
04-19 18:19Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.6499999025$1.90
04-19 15:31US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?SELL0.86$37.94
04-19 13:01Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?SELL0.3466129865$33.58
04-19 12:54Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.4899999948$47.47
04-16 17:03Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?SELL0.3023268072$6.02
04-16 11:56Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?SELL0.575$41.45
04-16 11:20Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.6049999992$43.62
04-16 10:19Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?BUY0.3500315904$10.00
04-16 10:19US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?SELL0.88$53.62
04-16 10:18Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?BUY0.3561314$226.32
04-16 10:17US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?SELL0.88$226.32
04-14 15:24US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY0.8899999998$322.39