okc35
0xccf38a9b206907a00dbfddebeab19aab1e048f27
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $735.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,011
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,011
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.116Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
- +$1.3kat 0.091Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?
- +$924.00at 0.160Rockets vs. Kings
- +$840.00at 0.160Bucks vs. Suns
- +$829.97at 0.308Trail Blazers vs. Jazz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 08-02 15:49 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 08-02 15:48 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.146 | $43.80 |
| 08-02 06:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $76.02 |
| 08-02 06:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $300.00 |
| 08-01 06:40 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.2046269441 | $300.00 |
| 08-01 06:37 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 07-31 15:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 07-31 15:25 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 07-31 15:25 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 07-31 15:25 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 07-31 15:24 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 07-31 15:24 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 07-31 15:24 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 07-31 15:18 | AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $98.80 |