PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ShayaEredyon

0xcd09c7f5132a160b41578a79a9e3453da7aeda63

Realised P&L
$-90.7k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$33.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$30.3k$63.0k
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.6390.295$1.6k$1.8k
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · Yes0.2580.145$924.75$717.94
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1860.045$427.22$1.3k
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0620.064$46.62+$0.76
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? · No0.7351.000$44.82+$11.87
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? · No0.5000.000$0.00$46.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-01 18:45Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.07$32.31
05-01 18:43Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.18$66.60
05-01 18:41Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?SELL0.41$20.50
05-01 18:41H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.1$50.00
05-01 18:40Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.18$108.00
05-01 18:392026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.14$116.98
05-01 18:37Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.18$10.80
05-01 18:37Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.18$54.00
05-01 18:37Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.18$36.00
05-01 18:36Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.994$9.94
04-17 13:02Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.18$360.00
04-17 13:01Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?SELL0.09$429.26
04-16 20:22Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.17$340.00
04-16 20:19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?SELL0.032$535.05
04-16 11:49Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?SELL0.031$69.60