0xcD5E1CB569a2aAd5C54B4b65eAaE585481a1A09C-1758474305629
0xcd5e1cb569a2aad5c54b4b65eaae585481a1a09c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $745.2k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $135.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.079Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$970.53at 0.432Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
- +$569.82at 0.095Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?
- +$56.67at 0.150US bank failure by February 28?
- +$52.50at 0.160Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-12 23:07 | Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.798155367 | $100.00 |
| 02-12 23:03 | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 02-11 21:46 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | BUY | 0.1195219114 | $100.00 |
| 02-11 21:44 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | BUY | 0.1192250373 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 01:54 | Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? | BUY | 0.0668999815 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 01:53 | Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? | BUY | 0.1581333216 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 23:40 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 02-08 15:44 | Don Lemon sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.1239472813 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 09:32 | Fed abolished before 2027? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 09:31 | Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition | BUY | 0.0811814574 | $20.00 |
| 02-08 09:31 | Will Trump sue Powell by March 31? | BUY | 0.1089999139 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 09:26 | Will a hurricane form by May 31? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 02-08 09:05 | Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February? | BUY | 0.8000553078 | $20.00 |
| 02-08 09:05 | Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February? | BUY | 0.6832600952 | $20.00 |
| 02-08 08:56 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |