PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xcD5E1CB569a2aAd5C54B4b65eAaE585481a1A09C-1758474305629

0xcd5e1cb569a2aad5c54b4b65eaae585481a1a09c

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$745.2k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$135.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Don Lemon sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1210.050$65.53$94.47
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3220.065$20.21$79.79
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.1050.071$13.60$6.40
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.003$12.50$27.50
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0580.021$7.40$12.60
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.1700.045$5.35$14.65
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1430.032$4.39$15.61
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · Yes0.0800.030$3.75$6.25
Will a hurricane form by May 31? · No0.9401.000$1.06+$0.06
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.4700.405$0.86$0.14
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? · Yes0.1100.013$0.71$5.29
Fed abolished before 2027? · Yes0.0490.010$0.20$0.80
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by January 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$100.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025? · No0.5000.000$0.00$20.00
Canada recession in 2025? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-12 23:07Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.798155367$100.00
02-12 23:03Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?BUY0.08$1.00
02-11 21:46US strike on Mexico by March 31?BUY0.1195219114$100.00
02-11 21:44US strike on Mexico by March 31?BUY0.1192250373$100.00
02-09 01:54Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?BUY0.0668999815$20.00
02-09 01:53Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?BUY0.1581333216$100.00
02-08 23:40Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.3299999922$20.00
02-08 15:44Don Lemon sentenced to prison?BUY0.1239472813$100.00
02-08 09:32Fed abolished before 2027?BUY0.048999954$1.00
02-08 09:31Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionBUY0.0811814574$20.00
02-08 09:31Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?BUY0.1089999139$1.00
02-08 09:26Will a hurricane form by May 31?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
02-08 09:05Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?BUY0.8000553078$20.00
02-08 09:05Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?BUY0.6832600952$20.00
02-08 08:56Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?BUY0.119999999$100.00