PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Novus0rdoSeclorum

0xcd91a549956854fdc38efad7e80ff5da8f5432b8

Realised P&L
$139.1k
Volume
$38.34M
Markets traded
25,450
Open portfolio
$355.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded25,450
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?BUY0.6$34.80
08-02 19:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3?BUY0.999$57.94
08-02 19:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 3?BUY0.999$57.94
08-02 19:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.86$49.88
08-02 19:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.63$36.54
08-02 19:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.94$54.52
08-02 18:22Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?BUY0.941$15.06
08-02 18:17Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.9565736734$42.00
08-02 18:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.42$3.44
08-02 18:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.988$280.39
08-02 18:06Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.989$280.68
08-02 18:06Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.991$281.25
08-02 18:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.59$167.44
08-02 18:06Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.997$43.78
08-02 17:57Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.72$33.12