Novus0rdoSeclorum
0xcd91a549956854fdc38efad7e80ff5da8f5432b8
- Realised P&L
- $139.1k
- Volume
- $38.34M
- Markets traded
- 25,450
- Open portfolio
- $355.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded25,450
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.5kat 0.051Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$28.3kat 0.185Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$27.2kat 0.273Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$20.4kat 0.607Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$19.9kat 0.383Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6 | $34.80 |
| 08-02 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.94 |
| 08-02 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.94 |
| 08-02 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.86 | $49.88 |
| 08-02 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.63 | $36.54 |
| 08-02 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $54.52 |
| 08-02 18:22 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.941 | $15.06 |
| 08-02 18:17 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.9565736734 | $42.00 |
| 08-02 18:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.44 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.988 | $280.39 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.989 | $280.68 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $281.25 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.59 | $167.44 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $43.78 |
| 08-02 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.72 | $33.12 |