fishcreek
0xcda38f95aa745f82c2ca675250870e088db436cf
- Realised P&L
- $-375.39
- Volume
- $458.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,186
- Open portfolio
- $220.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,186
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · San Francisco Giants | 0.431 | 0.455 | $81.90 | +$4.30 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.470 | 0.420 | $79.80 | −$9.50 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.441 | 0.405 | $58.72 | −$5.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.10at 0.340Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$161.90at 0.430Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
- +$160.28at 0.420Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$159.60at 0.430Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$158.60at 0.390San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 21:23 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 07-08 21:50 | Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.44 | $61.60 |
| 06-23 08:24 | Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.37 | $81.40 |
| 06-07 14:03 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.41 | $120.95 |
| 05-22 03:02 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.4 | $0.02 |
| 04-07 17:21 | Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.44 | $42.52 |