PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Distortion9000

0xcda609a41b3d31aff031d8096dc76f36ad2f3f07

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$171.7k
Markets traded
318
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded318
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2780.278$1.4k$3.56
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3410.747$1.1k+$582.46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.6200.540$540.50$79.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4000.635$317.49+$117.50
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5930.485$245.31$54.69
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8200.950$237.50+$32.50
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9000.915$201.30+$3.30
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.7600.800$160.00+$8.00
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7850.770$155.91$3.10
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4720.055$135.48$1.0k
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8100.890$133.49+$12.00
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0320.030$132.16$5.50
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8400.865$129.75+$3.75
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.8850.893$65.19+$0.62
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.8000.835$50.10+$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-30 18:48Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.52$208.00
05-06 12:46MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.769$230.70
03-30 15:35Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.9342266974$400.00
03-30 15:35Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.6944815238$150.00
03-29 17:51Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsBUY0.6199999981$66.00
03-28 21:04Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsBUY0.5899999999$101.00
03-28 20:32Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7890137328$40.00
03-28 20:28Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsBUY0.8899999986$50.00
03-28 19:45Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.66$100.00
03-28 16:20Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.52$20.80
03-28 16:15Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsBUY0.59$48.82
03-25 12:00Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ABUY0.6699999972$50.00
03-25 11:59Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yakult Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ABUY0.67$67.00
03-25 11:59Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs REKONIX (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ABUY0.8$80.00
03-24 21:26Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?SELL0.4534883721$19.50