FrankyFourFingers
0xcdbfdac42aeac5837d105e255c1131e7bf751926
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $6.90M
- Markets traded
- 6,274
- Open portfolio
- $20.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,274
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.091Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.2kat 0.023Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.810Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?
- +$906.84at 0.165Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
- +$889.70at 0.070Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:14 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.017 | $68.00 |
| 06-30 17:32 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 06-30 17:32 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $7.56 |
| 06-30 17:30 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.43 | $150.07 |
| 06-30 01:42 | Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | SELL | 0.174 | $30.46 |
| 06-05 08:06 | Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? | SELL | 0.48 | $48.16 |
| 05-28 03:29 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.42 | $44.09 |
| 05-26 15:47 | Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18? | BUY | 0.0969247871 | $204.90 |
| 05-26 15:46 | Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18? | BUY | 0.0951552225 | $33.77 |
| 05-25 17:22 | Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18? | BUY | 0.1186784945 | $41.31 |
| 05-25 17:21 | Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33? | BUY | 0.1 | $19.50 |
| 05-25 17:21 | Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33? | BUY | 0.14 | $63.07 |
| 05-24 17:04 | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.957 | $136.68 |
| 05-23 23:00 | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.943 | $218.94 |
| 05-20 02:00 | Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.1442741935 | $1.79 |