ovvvwf
0xcdfdb699776138fa2e6ad89442cb486bd31d8b51
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $74.6k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.108Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$363.00at 0.274Israel strikes Syria by August 31?
- +$335.59at 0.439US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$320.00at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$212.00at 0.470US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 22:21 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 06-01 18:53 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.193 | $54.43 |
| 05-29 21:13 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.271 | $108.40 |
| 05-29 21:12 | NBA: SGA Award Parlay | BUY | 0.6062648 | $303.13 |
| 05-05 23:22 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1692727273 | $27.93 |
| 05-05 23:21 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1658 | $49.74 |
| 05-05 23:21 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.157 | $12.56 |
| 05-05 23:21 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.156 | $3.12 |
| 05-03 19:06 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.0630826635 | $55.01 |
| 05-03 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.134612946 | $73.04 |
| 05-03 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.131 | $17.03 |
| 05-03 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $22.25 |
| 05-03 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1281804511 | $12.79 |
| 05-03 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.122 | $8.41 |
| 05-03 13:51 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.44 |