PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ovvvwf

0xcdfdb699776138fa2e6ad89442cb486bd31d8b51

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$74.6k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.945$567.00+$69.00
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2290.425$382.50+$176.39
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2820.399$199.50+$58.53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1930.506$142.81+$88.38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1060.128$127.50+$21.50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3590.158$78.75$100.64
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$44.83
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00$108.40
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? · No0.8390.000$0.00$62.77
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$114.92
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$107.10
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$102.59
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · No0.3200.000$0.00$64.00
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$88.00
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$87.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-08 22:21Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.3$60.00
06-01 18:53Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.193$54.43
05-29 21:13Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.271$108.40
05-29 21:12NBA: SGA Award ParlayBUY0.6062648$303.13
05-05 23:22Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.1692727273$27.93
05-05 23:21Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.1658$49.74
05-05 23:21Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.157$12.56
05-05 23:21Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.156$3.12
05-03 19:06Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?SELL0.0630826635$55.01
05-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.134612946$73.04
05-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.131$17.03
05-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.13$22.25
05-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.1281804511$12.79
05-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.122$8.41
05-03 13:51Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.12$1.44