Hong2
0xcf634fa42bf8ac3b459530f7bcf24da5983a5a4c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $414.4k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $49.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.39at 0.422Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$118.45at 0.028Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
- +$41.55at 0.002Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$36.03at 0.313UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$31.20at 0.220Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 12:17 | Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 07-28 12:16 | Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? | BUY | 0.03972 | $0.99 |
| 07-16 14:06 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.092 | $3.22 |
| 07-16 14:06 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.091 | $1.49 |
| 07-12 03:26 | Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 07-12 03:25 | Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 06-30 10:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.20 |
| 06-15 05:20 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-14 00:09 | UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 06-14 00:07 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 06-13 04:38 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 07:49 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.113436 | $1.13 |
| 06-10 10:08 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.111 | $1.11 |
| 06-10 10:07 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.111 | $2.77 |
| 06-10 09:39 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |