luckystone315
0xcf9555cef256c96a91dd4cd6c3a159c033867865
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $15.79M
- Markets traded
- 8,932
- Open portfolio
- $708.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,932
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.7kat 0.027Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$13.9kat 0.082Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$11.3kat 0.013Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$9.3kat 0.007Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$8.8kat 0.010Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 23:49 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.73 | $87.40 |
| 04-07 16:37 | Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.948 | $103.94 |
| 04-07 16:35 | Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.79 | $120.16 |
| 04-07 14:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat? | SELL | 0.09 | $15.30 |
| 04-07 14:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat? | SELL | 0.93 | $140.39 |
| 04-07 14:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-24 House seat? | SELL | 0.91 | $153.13 |
| 04-07 14:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the MD-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.87 | $176.71 |
| 04-06 13:03 | Will the Republican Party win the LA-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.92 | $73.41 |
| 04-01 10:47 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.753 | $3.77 |
| 03-31 03:46 | Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.21 |
| 03-31 01:05 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.57 |
| 03-30 20:04 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.48 |
| 03-30 12:39 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.059 | $1.10 |
| 03-30 10:41 | Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.34 |
| 03-30 09:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | BUY | 0.96 | $48.00 |