PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pika2zero

0xcfdceaac4912b9a56ce2d837269270c0bff85a2e

Realised P&L
$-115.04
Volume
$362.1k
Markets traded
978
Open portfolio
$10.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded978
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.8390.818$817.90$21.10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2270.278$554.99+$100.55
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8040.885$531.88+$48.67
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4130.461$483.52+$49.67
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4100.405$453.60$5.60
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1430.160$388.16+$41.70
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7000.595$357.00$63.00
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5730.879$353.09+$122.75
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8810.945$285.39+$19.35
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.4010.350$246.88$35.68
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0930.085$212.59$20.52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · No0.9551.000$209.90+$9.35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.6501.000$209.90+$73.39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8390.945$207.90+$23.27
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9180.960$201.65+$8.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:54Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.42$65.52
08-01 19:50Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.40369218$141.03
07-31 09:10Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.15$31.92
07-30 19:05Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.1414285714$0.99
07-30 06:13Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.13$72.91
07-30 06:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
07-30 06:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5599999253$3.00
07-29 19:00Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.12$3.60
07-29 18:58Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.11$98.80
07-29 18:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.53$530.00
07-28 09:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.4$120.00
07-27 12:08Israel election: will Likud lose seats?BUY0.85$2.00
07-27 12:08Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.954999384$1.00
07-27 12:06Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
07-27 12:06Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5209999557$2.00