PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Loafingtree13we

0xcffe36ccb80cef8fa9804a2486c9ebfcca88146d

Realised P&L
$821.07
Volume
$291.1k
Markets traded
403
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded403
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.6160.981$1.3k+$466.84
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.6450.995$397.80+$139.80
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? · Yes0.3100.450$89.90+$27.90
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · Yes0.4300.422$84.50$1.50
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.1700.032$9.23$39.82
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? · No0.5020.003$1.91$381.87
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m? · Yes0.0340.001$0.18$11.90
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m? · Yes0.0900.001$0.15$26.93
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? · Yes0.1560.001$0.15$46.65
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m? · Yes0.0600.001$0.03$3.27
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m? · Yes0.0600.001$0.01$1.19
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier · HANJIN BRION0.6900.000$0.00$172.50
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? · Yes0.4720.000$0.00$55.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 00:52Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.71$3.55
07-31 07:34Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.17$5.10
07-31 07:10Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.5892$58.92
07-31 06:43Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?SELL0.6080825556$547.27
07-30 12:20Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.2803694809$151.76
07-29 15:28Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.13$26.00
07-27 07:11LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageBUY0.87$435.00
07-27 06:33LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageBUY0.85$170.00
07-27 04:01Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?BUY0.41$19.56
07-27 00:02Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?BUY0.65$77.32
07-26 14:57Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?BUY0.89$178.00
07-25 01:46Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?BUY0.65$29.25
07-25 00:06Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?SELL0.2$70.18
07-25 00:06Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?BUY0.47$141.00
07-24 20:57Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?SELL0.1053345374$62.99