Loafingtree13we
0xcffe36ccb80cef8fa9804a2486c9ebfcca88146d
- Realised P&L
- $821.07
- Volume
- $291.1k
- Markets traded
- 403
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded403
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.329Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
- +$1.2kat 0.252Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
- +$649.11at 0.604Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?
- +$471.65at 0.218Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
- +$382.38at 0.320Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 00:52 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 07-31 07:34 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 07-31 07:10 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.5892 | $58.92 |
| 07-31 06:43 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | SELL | 0.6080825556 | $547.27 |
| 07-30 12:20 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.2803694809 | $151.76 |
| 07-29 15:28 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 07-27 07:11 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.87 | $435.00 |
| 07-27 06:33 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 07-27 04:01 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $19.56 |
| 07-27 00:02 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? | BUY | 0.65 | $77.32 |
| 07-26 14:57 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 07-25 01:46 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m? | BUY | 0.65 | $29.25 |
| 07-25 00:06 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | SELL | 0.2 | $70.18 |
| 07-25 00:06 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m? | BUY | 0.47 | $141.00 |
| 07-24 20:57 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m? | SELL | 0.1053345374 | $62.99 |