pantomime
0xd0394bd0de8d901c3fde039a86bf08e6aa4a2532
- Realised P&L
- $185.3k
- Volume
- $22.01M
- Markets traded
- 2,686
- Open portfolio
- $79.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,686
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.0kat 0.006Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$57.7kat 0.252Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$50.0kat 0.333Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$47.5kat 0.009Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$42.3kat 0.333Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:28 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.1558985649 | $233.67 |
| 08-03 04:23 | Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8618024388 | $582.35 |
| 08-01 23:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $936.31 |
| 08-01 23:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.9k |
| 08-01 15:27 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7585887023 | $471.09 |
| 08-01 14:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6881450862 | $427.34 |
| 08-01 00:33 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 08-01 00:18 | Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.1295858028 | $115.66 |
| 07-31 18:08 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.065509906 | $666.80 |
| 07-30 19:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3523993935 | $343.97 |
| 07-30 16:59 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2898915401 | $133.64 |
| 07-30 16:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $132.08 |
| 07-30 15:57 | Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General? | BUY | 0.789 | $38.57 |
| 07-30 15:57 | Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General? | BUY | 0.7678882001 | $144.92 |
| 07-30 14:14 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.3920208004 | $659.64 |