JohnJayson
0xd054c1198c56ab63f2ecbf6fb1deaa97b433b429
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $106.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.079 | $62.80 | −$179.20 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.045 | $43.27 | −$206.73 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$445.43 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.09at 0.032Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during speech on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 14:14 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.12 | $300.00 |
| 01-14 23:27 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2299999994 | $300.00 |
| 01-14 20:41 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1899999959 | $35.43 |
| 01-12 12:35 | Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | BUY | 0.30249623 | $242.00 |
| 01-12 11:15 | Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.0681806245 | $35.00 |
| 01-12 11:13 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999994 | $250.00 |
| 01-12 11:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.2859999992 | $250.00 |
| 01-11 18:43 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 01-11 18:31 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 16:55 | Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during speech on October 14? | SELL | 0.0298587192 | $13.91 |
| 10-14 15:28 | Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during speech on October 14? | BUY | 0.0322018982 | $15.00 |