0xd114968daf47276de25863296b351be22af6aec6
- Realised P&L
- $46.82
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $61.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.962 | $21.61 | +$1.61 |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.045 | $18.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.845 | $13.38 | +$3.09 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.091 | $8.10 | −$1.90 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.085 | $0.25 | −$1.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.32at 0.019Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$49.17at 0.169Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$38.58at 0.190Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$37.85at 0.560Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$33.33at 0.600Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 10:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.6305418719 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 20:07 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1129999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 20:03 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 19:51 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $39.83 |
| 07-27 10:05 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.2309999838 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 10:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $154.36 |
| 07-24 10:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.42 |
| 07-20 08:01 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.3534216524 | $52.10 |
| 07-16 10:21 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3029999965 | $44.67 |
| 07-07 18:18 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.06 | $126.32 |
| 07-02 17:41 | Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.0749999932 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 10:31 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999995 | $40.00 |
| 05-30 07:52 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899999958 | $29.43 |
| 05-19 04:19 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL | 0.06 | $30.84 |
| 05-16 16:44 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2099999985 | $99.41 |