PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd114968daf47276de25863296b351be22af6aec6

Realised P&L
$46.82
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$61.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8900.962$21.61+$1.61
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0500.045$18.00$2.00
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.6500.845$13.38+$3.09
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1130.091$8.10$1.90
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6700.085$0.25$1.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 10:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.6305418719$10.00
07-29 20:07Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1129999903$10.00
07-29 20:03Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.05$20.00
07-29 19:51Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.92$39.83
07-27 10:05Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.2309999838$10.00
07-27 10:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.77$154.36
07-24 10:59Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.89$178.42
07-20 08:01Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.3534216524$52.10
07-16 10:21Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3029999965$44.67
07-07 18:18Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.06$126.32
07-02 17:41Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.0749999932$10.00
07-02 10:31Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0189999995$40.00
05-30 07:52Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.1899999958$29.43
05-19 04:19Will Neymar play in the World Cup?SELL0.06$30.84
05-16 16:44Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.2099999985$99.41