0xd13c1B0D56e2671C7eCa9BF3CDa75C86140602f4-1768221888770
0xd13c1b0d56e2671c7eca9bf3cda75c86140602f4
- Realised P&L
- $7.8k
- Volume
- $213.9k
- Markets traded
- 985
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded985
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · Yes | 0.914 | 1.000 | $499.75 | +$42.50 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? · Yes | 0.987 | 1.000 | $330.86 | +$4.09 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · No | 0.750 | 0.865 | $173.00 | +$23.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.995 | 1.000 | $130.93 | +$0.63 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in August? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $54.97 | +$0.07 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.47 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 29? · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.37 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.184Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on April 7?
- +$1.6kat 0.255Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 13 above $4.50?
- +$740.39at 0.050WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?
- +$260.82at 0.310S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 17?
- +$239.52at 0.768Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-02 22:01 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.9867493729 | $287.17 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-31 20:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.939 | $234.75 |
| 07-31 20:17 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-31 20:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $169 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 07-31 20:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 07-31 20:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $167 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.9652332506 | $124.48 |
| 07-31 20:11 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 07-31 20:11 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $111 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.9988267264 | $1.2k |
| 07-31 20:11 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.99868 | $1.2k |
| 07-31 20:06 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $113.90 |
| 07-31 20:03 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $52 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.9984898159 | $244.62 |