PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

shortfiat

0xd2db96417706df612b4dacdaf2ba624cbf94d5b7

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$148.6k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.4031.000$6.1k+$3.7k
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.2050.081$259.20$396.79
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5711.000$232.03+$99.44
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$100.00
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00$15.00
Starmer out before July? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$2.0k
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$4.90
Alan Garber out as Harvard President before July? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$15.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $113K on June 3? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$15.00
Elon out of Trump administration before July? · No0.8500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$29.00
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$120.00
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on June 30? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$35.00
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$100.00
Starmer out by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$105.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-09 22:08Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.171$165.32
02-09 19:42Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1830600135$1000.00
02-08 16:02Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1146056593$141.92
02-06 19:55Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.07$532.00
02-05 14:28Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.09$30.77
02-05 14:23Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.09$117.00
02-05 14:22Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.09$144.00
02-05 09:37Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.16$96.00
02-04 22:31Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.46$73.60
02-04 22:22Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.58$19.60
02-04 22:18Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.43$14.11
02-04 22:11Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.42$12.60
02-04 21:50Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.57$113.00
02-04 21:35Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? BUY0.2$40.00
02-04 20:23Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? BUY0.2$160.00