shortfiat
0xd2db96417706df612b4dacdaf2ba624cbf94d5b7
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $148.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.85at 0.532Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?
- +$7.00at 0.300US-EU trade agreement by July 9?
- +$6.74at 0.620Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
- +$1.20at 0.880Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?
- +$0.23at 0.920Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 22:08 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.171 | $165.32 |
| 02-09 19:42 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1830600135 | $1000.00 |
| 02-08 16:02 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1146056593 | $141.92 |
| 02-06 19:55 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $532.00 |
| 02-05 14:28 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $30.77 |
| 02-05 14:23 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $117.00 |
| 02-05 14:22 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $144.00 |
| 02-05 09:37 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $96.00 |
| 02-04 22:31 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $73.60 |
| 02-04 22:22 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $19.60 |
| 02-04 22:18 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $14.11 |
| 02-04 22:11 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 02-04 21:50 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $113.00 |
| 02-04 21:35 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 02-04 20:23 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.2 | $160.00 |