puertoricoparty
0xd381ae454789df97f384fd22072b7e980adbe10c
- Realised P&L
- $211.17
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $58.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.015 | $58.90 | −$441.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$465.30at 0.690Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
- +$95.00at 0.810Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$90.00at 0.820Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 21:47 | Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.71 | $37.60 |
| 02-08 19:32 | Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.82 | $81.96 |
| 02-08 19:32 | Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.81 | $189.95 |
| 02-08 19:25 | Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.6741141732 | $34.24 |
| 01-14 19:01 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.1273267243 | $500.00 |