PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

VegasWSOP

0xd3e775abc3c974c4868bdbe384f8bf067135bf64

Realised P&L
$-77.6k
Volume
$5.53M
Markets traded
7,325
Open portfolio
$17.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,325
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.915$1.8k+$90.00
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8010.792$1.6k$16.44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4530.445$1.3k$23.48
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9920.992$991.50$0.50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds0.5200.580$968.60+$100.20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8150.945$945.00+$130.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8600.935$935.00+$75.00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4560.445$867.75$22.25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9550.906$725.20$38.60
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox0.4700.490$667.86+$27.26
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3600.747$634.52+$328.13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9680.977$527.31+$4.59
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5800.595$505.74+$12.75
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9060.965$482.25+$29.25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1700.145$449.50$77.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 22:32América FC vs. Goiás EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.999$19.98
07-26 22:32América FC vs. Goiás EC: América FC 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.999$33.97
07-26 22:30América FC vs. Goiás EC: Goiás EC 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.999$33.97
07-26 22:30América FC vs. Goiás EC: Goiás EC 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.999$33.97
07-26 22:30América FC vs. Goiás EC: América FC 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.999$33.97
07-26 22:30América FC vs. Goiás EC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.999$33.97
07-26 22:30América FC vs. Goiás EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.999$1.3k
07-26 22:30Goiás EC leading at halftime?BUY0.999$33.97
07-26 21:21Exact Score: Wisla Krakow 2 - 1 GKS Katowice?BUY0.998$499.00
07-25 22:45La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero AriasBUY0.999$273.54
07-25 20:28La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón EdulBUY0.999$893.72
07-21 18:32Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group BBUY0.33$49.50
07-21 18:07Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageBUY0.418375$33.47
07-04 12:29Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5860403307$303.40
07-01 17:49England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5SELL0.32$640.00