PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

csv26

0xd4aa7a88705c1b342716ff67ce8760b11d4b8fcc

Realised P&L
$145.35
Volume
$84.4k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration74.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2900.230$2.5k$651.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 03:14Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2590186629$523.51
07-14 16:22US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.2883118491$2.5k
07-03 17:24Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.296863765$600.00
06-19 01:16US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.4941550715$3.2k
04-13 13:15US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.3470681066$81.10
04-13 13:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?SELL0.011$25.51
04-08 01:06Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?BUY0.0232857234$54.00
04-08 00:54US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.3649754555$500.00
04-08 00:52US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?SELL0.995$609.59
04-02 13:36US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.32$191.12
03-24 06:03Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?BUY0.0081268438$10.00
03-24 03:39US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.3499999997$500.00
03-24 03:38Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?SELL0.8819769903$604.09
03-18 11:24Will Starmer say "Andrew" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?BUY0.07$0.35
03-18 02:38Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?BUY0.0410853316$10.00