Daa888
0xd514a67d01462b36d3b4da850587584a5fc9bbdf
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $213.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,240
- Open portfolio
- $413.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,240
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · Yes | 0.988 | 1.000 | $413.79 | +$4.76 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 22? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.60 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · No | 0.957 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on July 21? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 22? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.80at 0.520Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
- +$160.53at 0.237Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$138.00at 0.310Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
- +$134.45at 0.456Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET
- +$128.80at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 03:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.988 | $199.58 |
| 08-02 03:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.988 | $209.46 |
| 07-28 02:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.07 | $24.50 |
| 07-27 06:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 07-26 06:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | SELL | 0.007 | $14.11 |
| 07-21 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.17 |
| 07-21 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21? | SELL | 0.61 | $8.45 |
| 07-16 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 16? | SELL | 0.54 | $9.77 |
| 07-16 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.05 |
| 07-15 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 07-15 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 07-15 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 07-15 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 07-15 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 07-15 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.10 |