HoneybeeAlliance
0xd51abd921d2ea76b3ad5fe6959e38c0e75cb17c8
- Realised P&L
- $-48.8k
- Volume
- $2.77M
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $18.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.112 | $4.6k | −$1.8k |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.117 | $4.1k | +$150.39 |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.101 | $3.9k | −$2.1k |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.107 | $3.8k | −$1.0k |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.035 | $1.4k | −$2.6k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.280 | $756.07 | +$17.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-60.00at 0.109South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$-117.37at 0.010Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-145.34at 0.064Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?
- +$-368.85at 0.110Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- +$-437.57at 0.177SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 02:12 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.0789999658 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 02:12 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099782123 | $395.01 |
| 08-01 02:11 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.108476837 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 00:44 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1079999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 00:42 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.062954284 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 00:41 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1078930883 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 00:39 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1049999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 13:36 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1068173409 | $1000.00 |
| 07-30 08:12 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0957911091 | $12.00 |
| 07-29 08:09 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899774505 | $69.00 |
| 07-29 08:08 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.3625166271 | $166.25 |
| 07-29 07:58 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.2370948276 | $550.06 |
| 07-29 07:34 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.2166548485 | $200.00 |
| 07-29 07:22 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1987964602 | $224.64 |
| 07-29 07:21 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.2402764564 | $179.82 |