PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8973b817F9b946b8C9D5a328e347eD1629B6dA21

0xd54d374fe05e4d79ea6250cfe80696add6ae1adc

Realised P&L
$-789.65
Volume
$72.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$723.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.3020.068$547.89$1.9k
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0440.024$136.42$118.38
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.1530.027$39.66$185.31
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? · No0.1820.000$0.00$50.00
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-02 20:53US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.13$352.84
02-02 20:53US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.14$47.43
02-02 20:51US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.5$340.24
01-31 14:42US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.23$88.58
01-31 14:41US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.24$83.31
01-31 14:41US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.72$1.7k
01-18 20:25US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.2119878215$264.58
01-18 20:20US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.199399946$560.83
01-17 16:47US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.54$1.6k
01-15 03:51Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?SELL0.24$34.42
01-15 03:48Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.39$390.00
01-15 03:47Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?SELL0.2508643402$325.65
01-14 23:54Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3486055742$50.00
01-14 21:11US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?SELL0.4692405772$469.23
01-14 21:11US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.4$600.00