SPDuck
0xd56d08c6cff7e9571d27a13c31c48515af1012a9
- Realised P&L
- $-271.70
- Volume
- $40.8k
- Markets traded
- 309
- Open portfolio
- $448.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded309
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.72at 0.023Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 80 by July 31?
- +$48.52at 0.015Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
- +$47.59at 0.050Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by July 31?
- +$45.57at 0.072Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?
- +$35.74at 0.052Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:42 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 60 by August 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.07 |
| 08-03 01:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-02 13:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-02 10:37 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by August 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-02 10:34 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by August 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 08-02 10:24 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-02 02:35 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.70 |
| 08-02 02:30 | Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 08-01 01:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 08-01 01:04 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by July 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.12 |
| 07-30 06:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 07-29 12:22 | Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 07-29 12:19 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.914 | $4.57 |
| 07-28 12:01 | Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 07-28 11:03 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.914 | $4.57 |