PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SPDuck

0xd56d08c6cff7e9571d27a13c31c48515af1012a9

Realised P&L
$-271.70
Volume
$40.8k
Markets traded
309
Open portfolio
$448.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded309
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No0.9400.959$47.95+$0.95
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.905$36.20+$9.00
Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027? · No0.7240.780$31.20+$2.25
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31? · No0.5420.625$29.88+$3.94
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by August 31? · No0.5240.590$29.50+$3.28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? · No0.8850.940$28.20+$1.65
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? · No0.8830.925$27.75+$1.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? · No0.8530.915$27.45+$1.85
Will Solana reach $90 in August? · No0.9000.905$27.15+$0.15
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9150.902$27.07$0.36
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.945$23.52+$3.61
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31? · Yes0.7390.855$23.09+$3.13
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by August 31? · No0.8500.880$17.60+$0.60
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No0.7250.810$16.20+$1.70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? · No0.9100.999$9.98+$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:42Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 60 by August 31?BUY0.26$1.07
08-03 01:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9?BUY0.87$8.70
08-02 13:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8?BUY0.88$8.80
08-02 10:37Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by August 31?SELL0.54$2.70
08-02 10:34Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by August 31?SELL0.57$2.85
08-02 10:24Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31?BUY0.51$2.55
08-02 02:35Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?BUY0.42$8.70
08-02 02:30Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?BUY0.52$10.40
08-01 01:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?BUY0.89$13.35
08-01 01:04Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 65 by July 31?SELL0.01$0.12
07-30 06:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?BUY0.93$9.30
07-29 12:22Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?BUY0.79$3.95
07-29 12:19Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.914$4.57
07-28 12:01Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?BUY0.71$3.55
07-28 11:03Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.914$4.57