Burgil
0xd5eb2846e5f41e76fd1a607320ae1ec45af0b9d6
- Realised P&L
- $31.3k
- Volume
- $1.57M
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $15.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.6kat 0.538Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$3.3kat 0.384Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$3.1kat 0.176Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.2kat 0.590Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$2.1kat 0.610Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 06:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $22.03 |
| 07-30 20:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.8k |
| 07-30 16:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.0k |
| 07-24 19:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $4.16 |
| 07-23 17:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $52.71 |
| 07-23 16:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.83 |
| 07-23 16:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $104.95 |
| 07-23 16:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5288028736 | $92.01 |
| 07-23 16:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5295400458 | $231.41 |
| 07-23 16:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5198432602 | $663.32 |
| 07-23 16:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 07-23 16:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 07-23 16:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $112.20 |
| 07-23 16:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $427.86 |
| 07-23 16:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $42.14 |