pumpernikkel
0xd6e2bbecada84ffc47d032106b8d5e60b0927d4f
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $261.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,010
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,010
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$537.53at 0.035Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?
- +$336.90at 0.174Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1?
- +$328.43at 0.193Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?
- +$298.61at 0.059Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?
- +$281.52at 0.196Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2? | SELL | 0.0517995233 | $1.96 |
| 08-02 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0555858987 | $4.48 |
| 08-02 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0111764706 | $0.95 |
| 08-02 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.1415826087 | $3.26 |
| 08-02 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 45°C or higher on August 2? | SELL | 0.0012590554 | $0.39 |
| 08-02 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.0235771649 | $6.22 |
| 08-02 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0594431823 | $28.57 |
| 08-02 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2? | BUY | 0.1899311441 | $7.17 |
| 08-02 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 08-02 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.45 |
| 08-02 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0066318109 | $3.30 |
| 08-02 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 45°C or higher on August 2? | BUY | 0.0409446254 | $12.57 |
| 08-02 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0377574771 | $8.58 |
| 08-02 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.99 |
| 08-02 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1 | $71.36 |