SyrianRebble
0xd76a18e2517d980745c5328c90a1208d82fd79ac
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $209.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.145 | $101.50 | −$241.50 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.105 | $63.00 | −$135.00 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.344 | 0.150 | $45.00 | −$58.20 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.470Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$240.92at 0.130Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
- +$231.36at 0.734Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$164.99at 0.738Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?
- +$101.17at 0.111Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 16:54 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BUY | 0.280972453 | $40.00 |
| 05-31 16:53 | Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? | SELL | 0.739083 | $73.91 |
| 05-28 18:18 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY | 0.199113943 | $200.00 |
| 05-21 04:05 | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.80 |
| 05-14 20:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.011 | $5.26 |
| 05-11 09:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $22.20 |
| 05-10 08:52 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 05-10 08:51 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.76 |
| 05-10 08:50 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 05-08 07:43 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.590642695 | $300.00 |
| 05-08 07:40 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.52 | $9.96 |
| 05-08 07:39 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $15.90 |
| 05-08 07:15 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.4942327975 | $500.00 |
| 05-08 07:12 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $16.30 |
| 04-09 04:18 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.08 |