PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SyrianRebble

0xd76a18e2517d980745c5328c90a1208d82fd79ac

Realised P&L
$-4.7k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$209.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.4900.145$101.50$241.50
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes0.3300.105$63.00$135.00
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3440.150$45.00$58.20
Iran leadership change by July 31? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$6.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-31 16:54Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?BUY0.280972453$40.00
05-31 16:53Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?SELL0.739083$73.91
05-28 18:18Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?BUY0.199113943$200.00
05-21 04:05Iran closes its airspace by May 21?SELL0.02$1.80
05-14 20:51Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?SELL0.011$5.26
05-11 09:42Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.019$22.20
05-10 08:52Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.65$3.25
05-10 08:51Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.65$6.76
05-10 08:50Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.66$19.80
05-08 07:43Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.590642695$300.00
05-08 07:40Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.52$9.96
05-08 07:39Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.53$15.90
05-08 07:15Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.4942327975$500.00
05-08 07:12Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.48$16.30
04-09 04:18Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?SELL0.054$1.08