hypeeeee
0xd7abd68c2bead85b05bdc044532077380e768a17
- Realised P&L
- $526.09
- Volume
- $79.9k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $18.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.918 | 0.340 | $18.90 | −$32.15 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.21 |
| Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.23 |
| Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.32 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.39 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$233.30 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.608 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$428.07at 0.830Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$227.38at 0.927Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
- +$197.19at 0.846Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
- +$133.40at 0.719US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$99.06at 0.901Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 11:20 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.913 | $91.30 |
| 07-12 14:14 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8901532802 | $145.18 |
| 07-09 16:21 | Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $6.86 |
| 06-09 11:03 | Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.946 | $5.57 |
| 06-07 20:02 | Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $105.65 |
| 05-30 14:30 | Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $22.88 |
| 05-29 08:29 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.63 | $210.33 |
| 05-26 19:57 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7428990835 | $151.57 |
| 05-26 16:00 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.65 |
| 05-26 11:30 | Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $105.65 |
| 05-26 10:32 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $15.44 |
| 05-26 10:12 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.368565371 | $5.22 |
| 05-26 09:53 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 05-26 09:53 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $11.73 |
| 05-26 09:04 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | SELL | 0.62 | $65.18 |