ClearMove
0xd7f15d5ebda09853ee778019d5513fca4bef73cd
- Realised P&L
- $31.4k
- Volume
- $1.91M
- Markets traded
- 1,084
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,084
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.9kat 0.024Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$6.7kat 0.101Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
- +$6.2kat 0.242US military action against Iran by Monday?
- +$5.5kat 0.190Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$3.9kat 0.129US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:54 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0384163989 | $50.09 |
| 08-02 15:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $13.50 |
| 08-02 15:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $60.00 |
| 08-02 12:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.0499494667 | $149.85 |
| 08-02 11:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 08-02 11:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.13 | $130.00 |
| 08-02 10:22 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $50.69 |
| 08-01 19:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.61 |
| 08-01 13:46 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.21 |
| 08-01 13:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $14.00 |
| 08-01 00:19 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.024 | $24.00 |
| 08-01 00:05 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.01896396 | $75.86 |
| 07-31 22:32 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.05682896 | $56.83 |
| 07-30 18:42 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $90.00 |
| 07-30 18:41 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.451 | $45.10 |