D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935
0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935
- Realised P&L
- $67.3k
- Volume
- $8.17M
- Markets traded
- 2,081
- Open portfolio
- $145.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,081
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.996MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.4kat 0.410Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$4.0kat 0.700Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?
- +$3.4kat 0.993Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$3.1kat 0.615Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:51 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $940.00 |
| 08-02 19:43 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.66 | $330.00 |
| 08-02 19:42 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.94 | $132.75 |
| 08-02 19:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $74.90 |
| 08-01 16:11 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.30 |
| 08-01 16:08 | Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.78 | $156.78 |
| 08-01 15:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.25 | $250.00 |
| 08-01 15:49 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.6k |
| 08-01 15:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 08-01 14:36 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $368.00 |
| 08-01 14:35 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $527.52 |
| 07-31 21:45 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.951 | $475.50 |
| 07-31 21:44 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.71 | $284.00 |
| 07-31 21:43 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.77990101 | $779.90 |
| 07-31 21:43 | Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $108.72 |