SrtaAuren
0xd9062ac6aa164c371affadf75d6dd629fa5aa578
- Realised P&L
- $-88.15
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $134.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.075 | $102.54 | −$72.98 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.083 | $28.41 | +$15.91 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.006 | $3.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.003 | $0.63 | −$6.37 |
| Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.003 | $0.32 | −$14.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.57at 0.007Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.38at 0.703Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.22at 0.500Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-10.85at 0.051Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 22:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0529999903 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 23:25 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 07-24 23:24 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.12 | $14.40 |
| 07-24 15:46 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.118 | $62.08 |
| 07-19 18:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.743 | $25.53 |
| 07-19 18:15 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.01 | $7.14 |
| 07-01 01:21 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0709999958 | $15.00 |
| 07-01 01:00 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.122 | $36.60 |
| 07-01 00:57 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1219999935 | $15.00 |
| 06-27 18:23 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1169999933 | $15.00 |
| 06-16 02:23 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0669999917 | $7.00 |
| 06-16 02:05 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0069999965 | $2.00 |
| 06-16 01:51 | Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.103 | $0.70 |
| 06-12 00:48 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.023872475 | $9.55 |
| 06-10 09:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.707 | $19.66 |