Carboncruncher
0xd94adf9467483e58192b48099a1fcd3b1eaa6236
- Realised P&L
- $-88.43
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $413.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.66at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
- +$2.80at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?
- +$0.94at 0.810Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$0.63at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
- +$0.61at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 07-29 16:40 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.053 | $1.59 |
| 07-29 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.35 |
| 07-28 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.53 |
| 07-24 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999434 | $2.97 |
| 07-24 10:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 07-24 10:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $3.36 |
| 07-24 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 10:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $3.39 |
| 07-24 10:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999801 | $2.94 |
| 07-24 10:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $2.85 |