PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Carboncruncher

0xd94adf9467483e58192b48099a1fcd3b1eaa6236

Realised P&L
$-88.43
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$413.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.7800.977$185.53+$37.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9201.000$106.47+$8.47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1500.125$73.10$14.62
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1460.065$42.36$52.68
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0220.011$6.25$6.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 29? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 30? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 30? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.7000.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00$2.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 30? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$1.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.8400.000$0.00$25.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 09:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.6999999767$3.00
07-29 17:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?BUY0.13$5.20
07-29 16:40Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 30?BUY0.053$1.59
07-29 15:38Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 30?BUY0.06$3.00
07-28 21:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 29?BUY0.05$0.35
07-28 20:56Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?BUY0.07$3.53
07-24 10:55Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.4099999434$2.97
07-24 10:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETSELL0.04$0.80
07-24 10:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.15$3.00
07-24 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.6$3.00
07-24 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSELL0.84$3.36
07-24 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.75$3.00
07-24 10:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSELL0.84$3.39
07-24 10:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.7299999801$2.94
07-24 10:46Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSELL0.77$2.85