PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Retippppaksksk

0xd98e5c8d8de5921fac5b24f92ef913acdee69bb3

Realised P&L
$-99.77
Volume
$35.3k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? · Yes0.1860.825$1.2k+$961.53
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00$98.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00$9.85
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.5290.000$0.00$141.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00$11.00
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00$3.96
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.8000.000$0.00$9.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 06:55Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$80.61
07-08 06:26Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7248750446$67.17
06-19 09:07Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?SELL0.886$28.04
06-19 09:06Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.37$41.11
06-18 20:53Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?BUY0.791999997$25.07
06-18 14:48Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2699999937$30.00
06-09 08:30Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.6853273098$22.00
06-09 08:27Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.0336659467$23.38
06-09 08:24Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.7430546206$17.54
06-09 08:21Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.079197057$55.00
02-28 18:01Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.5289999994$141.86
02-28 18:01Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?SELL0.8$141.86
02-19 21:09Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?BUY0.7048527871$124.99
02-19 19:03Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL0.13$80.45
02-17 22:23Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?SELL0.6$205.54