wangtoberich
0xd995fd14f76c751f1707e148160cafe871482aed
- Realised P&L
- $89.91
- Volume
- $99.7k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $499.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on August 2? · No | 0.994 | 1.000 | $249.88 | +$1.38 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 2? · No | 0.988 | 0.999 | $249.62 | +$2.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.93at 0.820Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.60at 0.949Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
- +$7.00at 0.986Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$6.94at 0.966Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.940LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $572.43 |
| 07-22 13:32 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $249.50 |
| 07-05 11:43 | Will XRP reach $1.20 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-05 11:43 | Will XRP reach $1.50 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9980588235 | $84.83 |
| 07-05 11:43 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9980588235 | $84.83 |
| 07-05 11:42 | Will XRP dip to $0.50 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9980588235 | $84.83 |
| 07-05 11:42 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9980588235 | $84.83 |
| 07-05 11:42 | Will XRP reach $1.60 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9980588235 | $84.83 |
| 07-05 11:42 | Will XRP reach $1.70 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.9980588235 | $84.83 |
| 07-02 10:08 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.92 |
| 07-02 08:55 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.756 | $75.60 |
| 06-30 10:27 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 06-30 10:26 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $162.28 |
| 06-30 10:25 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $33.77 |
| 06-29 08:22 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $98.80 |