0xD9966248A8f30572fD78e6433Ba488F4D3862aBa-1759165137522
0xd9966248a8f30572fd78e6433ba488f4d3862aba
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $139.8k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $153.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.068 | $41.72 | −$8.28 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.018 | $35.83 | −$9.17 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.011 | $30.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.034 | $26.55 | −$23.45 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.013 | $20.50 | −$9.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.81 |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.05 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.99at 0.010Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
- +$52.45at 0.075Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$47.51at 0.195Magic vs. Nets
- +$30.72at 0.020Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 2?
- +$25.81at 0.960US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0181721716 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 21:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | SELL | 0.6 | $16.36 |
| 08-01 21:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.6599999941 | $18.00 |
| 08-01 21:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0113942116 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 21:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0182924012 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 21:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.027 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 21:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0809027284 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 21:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0630999262 | $50.00 |
| 05-19 23:21 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.011417834 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 23:08 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.0390000004 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 23:08 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.0342313354 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 23:05 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 23:04 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.0959999833 | $5.00 |
| 03-01 15:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | BUY | 0.4399999932 | $33.81 |
| 03-01 12:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? | BUY | 0.0222123973 | $50.00 |