PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xD9966248A8f30572fD78e6433Ba488F4D3862aBa-1759165137522

0xd9966248a8f30572fd78e6433ba488f4d3862aba

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$139.8k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$153.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? · Yes0.0810.068$41.72$8.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? · Yes0.0230.018$35.83$9.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? · Yes0.0110.011$30.28+$0.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? · Yes0.0630.034$26.55$23.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? · Yes0.0180.013$20.50$9.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$50.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$33.81
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No0.0240.000$0.00$15.05
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:22Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.0181721716$15.00
08-01 21:10Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?SELL0.6$16.36
08-01 21:08Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.6599999941$18.00
08-01 21:07Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.0113942116$30.00
08-01 21:06Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?BUY0.0182924012$30.00
08-01 21:06Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.027$30.00
08-01 21:06Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.0809027284$50.00
08-01 21:06Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.0630999262$50.00
05-19 23:21Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.011417834$5.00
05-19 23:08Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.0390000004$5.00
05-19 23:08Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.0342313354$5.00
05-19 23:05Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
05-19 23:04Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.0959999833$5.00
03-01 15:46Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?BUY0.4399999932$33.81
03-01 12:47Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?BUY0.0222123973$50.00