PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

simo53

0xda07719bd1fc8594b82031f196ea5139740c62a0

Realised P&L
$-172.80
Volume
$115.4k
Markets traded
539
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded539
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Jessica Pegula0.7030.805$313.25+$39.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? · Yes0.4471.000$245.95+$135.96
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3? · Yes0.4150.385$126.78$9.99
National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean · Magdalena Frech0.6960.580$121.31$24.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? · Yes0.3540.405$114.66+$14.33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? · Yes0.3400.295$93.18$14.14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? · No0.9891.000$78.40+$0.84
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on August 3? · No0.9900.970$67.65$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 1? · No0.9211.000$54.54+$4.30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? · No0.9820.969$52.50$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1? · No0.9981.000$52.26+$0.08
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yes0.6750.590$52.00$7.53
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic · Lois Boisson0.6330.730$51.19+$6.82
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 3? · Yes0.3560.255$41.60$16.53
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? · Yes0.6630.610$40.97$3.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?SELL0.999$54.81
08-02 23:44Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2?SELL0.999$209.34
08-02 23:23Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.999$60.55
08-02 23:01National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia JeanjeanBUY0.5$1.00
08-02 22:58National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia JeanjeanBUY0.4802508676$18.33
08-02 22:57National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia JeanjeanBUY0.5499999907$20.67
08-02 22:57National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia JeanjeanBUY0.5499999467$4.13
08-02 22:56National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia RuzicBUY0.6599999818$5.80
08-02 22:55National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia RuzicBUY0.64$24.57
08-02 22:54National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia JeanjeanBUY0.4799999801$4.82
08-02 22:46National Bank Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Camila OsorioBUY0.96$37.05
08-02 22:43National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia JeanjeanBUY0.6899999921$26.12
08-02 22:42National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia RuzicBUY0.6699999196$2.00
08-02 22:42National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia JeanjeanBUY0.6347577485$5.80
08-02 22:42National Bank Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Camila OsorioBUY0.9$34.71