PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

1e6x

0xda2e460c6555463fa5105ecf675e3a65e1746c83

Realised P&L
$5.6k
Volume
$170.6k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$13.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2470.747$10.3k+$6.9k
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0230.029$1.2k+$263.02
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0320.100$783.31+$534.33
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1190.118$736.94$4.43
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher? · No0.3500.000$0.00$350.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.3380.000$0.00$25.05
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.6100.000$0.00$2.3k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00$1.7k
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) · TheMongolz0.4580.000$0.00$96.67
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No0.1400.000$0.00$32.09
Bucks vs. Magic · Magic0.2300.000$0.00$3.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 22:56Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.1194112956$727.17
06-12 18:58Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0251636622$638.41
06-09 05:12Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.019709984$307.96
06-09 05:11Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0317867118$248.99
04-12 01:35Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.47$940.00
04-12 01:34Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.338$25.05
03-28 01:03US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.61$2.3k
03-28 00:21Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1752627184$1.5k
03-02 03:45Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.16$495.29
03-02 03:43Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.151462923$438.43
03-02 03:08Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.14$26.60
02-28 01:57US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.84$8.40
02-17 04:53Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?BUY0.15$60.95
02-16 23:48Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?BUY0.1498464326$97.58
02-16 23:40Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by March 31?BUY0.62$151.90