pretzel
0xda737a656dd487c3ba95d6577d1fec2c61414d41
- Realised P&L
- $11.5k
- Volume
- $3.31M
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.4kat 0.245Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$7.4kat 0.970Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$2.3kat 0.242August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?
- +$1.8kat 0.766Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.922Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:53 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | BUY | 0.6978302054 | $788.27 |
| 07-31 10:03 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31? | BUY | 0.704 | $35.20 |
| 07-31 10:00 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.083 | $2.5k |
| 07-29 23:01 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.868523205 | $4.2k |
| 07-24 01:56 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1295390836 | $4.81 |
| 07-24 01:54 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1245 | $4.98 |
| 07-23 23:35 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4 | $509.66 |
| 07-23 23:23 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.3k |
| 07-23 23:00 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | SELL | 0.265 | $132.50 |
| 07-23 22:47 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.185 | $21.83 |
| 07-23 22:46 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1900718374 | $288.24 |
| 07-23 22:44 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1936666667 | $43.58 |
| 07-23 22:44 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1781637011 | $250.32 |
| 07-23 22:38 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.20163023 | $273.53 |
| 07-20 14:11 | US x China Military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $117.72 |