PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pretzel

0xda737a656dd487c3ba95d6577d1fec2c61414d41

Realised P&L
$11.5k
Volume
$3.31M
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$8.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.4500.606$5.0k+$1.3k
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0830.063$2.4k$773.08
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? · Yes0.6980.575$649.52$138.75
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0680.078$258.30+$32.70
US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0400.043$127.72+$10.01
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0500.085$88.01+$36.24
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31? · Yes0.7040.445$22.25$12.95
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · Yes0.0200.423$18.21+$17.35
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.140$1.59$0.23
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.6200.022$0.07$1.79
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.7510.000$0.00$4.6k
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.3460.000$0.00$838.39
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$2.33
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$72.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:53Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?BUY0.6978302054$788.27
07-31 10:03Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?BUY0.704$35.20
07-31 10:00NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.083$2.5k
07-29 23:01U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.868523205$4.2k
07-24 01:56Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.1295390836$4.81
07-24 01:54Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.1245$4.98
07-23 23:35Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.4$509.66
07-23 23:23Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?SELL0.5$1.3k
07-23 23:00Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?SELL0.265$132.50
07-23 22:47Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.185$21.83
07-23 22:46Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.1900718374$288.24
07-23 22:44Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.1936666667$43.58
07-23 22:44Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.1781637011$250.32
07-23 22:38Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.20163023$273.53
07-20 14:11US x China Military clash before 2027?BUY0.04$117.72