0xdB34E0cD936Dbfcac6F31F40B6F6e7162567d638-1781204020175
0xdb34e0cd936dbfcac6f31f40b6f6e7162567d638
- Realised P&L
- $202.20
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $349.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.345 | $226.91 | −$23.09 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.012 | $64.55 | −$85.45 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.043 | $33.00 | −$67.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.025 | $24.50 | −$75.50 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$499.48at 0.192US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 12:54 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $46.00 |
| 07-09 12:54 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0278862242 | $150.00 |
| 07-09 12:53 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 12:53 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 12:53 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999995 | $250.00 |
| 06-14 23:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.844 | $646.48 |
| 06-11 19:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.191913129 | $147.00 |