PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xdB34E0cD936Dbfcac6F31F40B6F6e7162567d638-1781204020175

0xdb34e0cd936dbfcac6f31f40b6f6e7162567d638

Realised P&L
$202.20
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$349.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.345$226.91$23.09
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0280.012$64.55$85.45
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.043$33.00$67.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes0.1000.025$24.50$75.50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$46.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 12:54US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.013$46.00
07-09 12:54US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0278862242$150.00
07-09 12:53US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.1$100.00
07-09 12:53US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
07-09 12:53US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999995$250.00
06-14 23:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.844$646.48
06-11 19:40US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.191913129$147.00